Israel: 4 scenarios for Gaza options weight:

Israel I routed the enemy It’s not the entire region, but it’s not back yet All Hostages From the Gaza Strip. Hamas appears to have been militarily destroyed, but I have it The rebels continued their attacks. Gaza is in abandoned ins and experts say Slip into starvationand a long-term ceasefire meeting It looks like it’s broken.

So where do we go from here?

Israel and Hamas both embrace visions of how the war should end, but mediators from the two American regimes, Egypt and Qatar, have yet to fill the gap. There are two other scenarios where war is played indefinitely at an unimaginable cost for the 2 million Palestinians, Israeli hostages and their families in Gaza.

Let’s take a closer look.

Complete Reoccupying Gaza

For days, Israeli media reports that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is on the brink of orders Complete Reoccupying Gaza This is the first time since Israel retracted its soldiers and settlers 20 years ago. He is expected to meet with his security cabinet late Thursday, perhaps to make a decision.

That means sending ground forces to some areas of Gaza that have not been completely destroyed. It is about 25% of the territory that many of the 2 million people are seeking evacuation, including Mwasi’s vast coastal displacement camps.

It leads to countless Palestinian deaths and more massive displacements, which could put around 20 remaining living hostages at serious risk. Israel is also mandated to have full control of its territory, provide security by international law, and to meet the basic needs of its population.

Reoccupying will spark international rage More isolation of Israel and the US There is also opposition within Israel from people who fear hostages and former security guards, and those who warned about the quagmire.

However, it has strong support among Netanyahu’s far-right management partners. They have long sought a reunion of Gaza, a relocation of its population to many other countries, and a reconstruction of Jewish settlements.

Ceasefire in line with international demands

Hamas said that Palestinians imprisoned from Israel would release all remaining hostages in return for a full Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and a permanent ceasefire.

These requirements have been adopted Biden administration and UN Security Council More than a year ago, it was enshrined in a ceasefire agreement finalized by the Trump administration in January. It led to a six-week ceasefire, release of 25 living hostages and eight other ruins, and a flood of humanitarian assistance.

Both sides were to use the suspension to negotiate a more permanent ceasefire. Instead, Israel ended its truce in Marchdemanding another temporary ceasefire and some release of the remaining hostages.

Israel fears that by withdrawing from Gaza, Hamas will ultimately allow them to rebuild military machines and maintain their influence on the territory without having to retain formal power.

Netanyahu may also be afraid that his far-right allies will follow the threat to overthrow the government if they agree to its terms. It spells the end of his nearly unbroken power of 16 years, making him more vulnerable Long-term corruption fees Contact us Security and intelligence failures regarding 2023 attacks.

Ceasefire over Israeli conditions

Netanyahu said that all hostages will be returned and that the war will be over once Hamas is defeated or agreed to disarm and defect.

But even so, he says Israel will pursue the plan Relocating much of Gaza’s population to other countries through what he calls “voluntary immigration.” Many Palestinians and the international community view the program as forced expulsion in violation of international law.

Netanyahu says that in exchange for Israel’s release of Palestinians imprisoned by Israel, floods of humanitarian aid and partial Israeli pullback, Hamas willingly agree to a temporary ceasefire in which several living hostages and the bodies of others. They then negotiate an end to the war, but Israel will demand Hamas disarmament.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu speaks to the audience at a meeting held in Jerusalem on Sunday, July 27, 2025 (AP Photo/Ohad Zwigenberg)

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Hamas says he is willing to hand over his strength to other Palestinians, but will not abandon his arm. Israel occupying the land Palestinians want a future nation. They also want to ensure that Israel will not resume war, as they did in March.

Further military escalations could bring more concessions. However, Hamas has already lost thousands of fighter jets and almost all of Gaza’s top leaders. Its strongest allies, Iran and Hezbollah, have been heavily weakened.

hostage The last negotiation tip Hamas held.

Eternal War

It is quite possible that the war will continue in its current state.

Israel can continue to carry out daily strikes across its territory. This not only targets extremists, but also frequently kills adult civilians and children. Hamas was able to maintain a low tempo of hit-and-run attacks and sometimes kill Israeli soldiers. Additional measures to incorporate more food into Gaza may halt hunger and allow aid Distributed more safely.

Hostages were able to survive in captivity for months or years.

Israel is scheduled to hold elections in October 2026, and perhaps earlier, it could bring new leadership, even if Netanyahu kept his alliance intact.

Which scenario will depend on President Donald Trump, who is providing important military and diplomatic support to Israel, and who, who? He proved he’s using Netanyahu When he brokered a ceasefire between Israel and Iran after the 12-day war in June.

Trump says he wants to end the war in Gaza and bring the remaining hostages home, but he appears to have fully embraced the conditions of a ceasefire without putting public pressure on Israel.

Asked on Tuesday if Israel would support a re-occupying Gaza, Trump said, “It would be a considerable presence in Israel.”

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